Trends
What is changing around you that will probably keep changing?
- What has been steadily growing or shrinking for several years?
- What are people starting to expect that they didn't expect before?
- Which trend would hurt most if you ignored it?
Step back and chart the trends, forces and players that shape your problem from the outside.
Every problem sits inside a bigger landscape. People's needs shift, technology changes, money gets tight, rules change and other organizations make their moves. A Context Map puts your challenge in the middle of a large sheet and surrounds it with those outside forces, so you can see what's pressing on it from every side.
You fill the map in sections: trends, people's needs, technology, money, rules and politics, other players and unknowns. Then you step back and ask what the picture means. Which forces matter most? Which can you influence, and which can you only plan around? The answers often change which problem you decide to solve.
Use it when you're starting a strategy or a big project, when a team is looking only at internal issues, or when you need a shared picture of the outside world before you start generating ideas.
Your challenge sits in the middle. Fill every force, then ask which ones matter most and which you can influence.
Choose a part of the diagram or a tab to explore each force.
What is changing around you that will probably keep changing?
What do the people you serve need, and how is that changing?
What technology could help, hurt or reshape this?
How is money flowing, and how might that change?
Which rules, policies or political pressures shape what you can do?
Who else is active in this space, and what are they doing?
What don't you know that could change the picture?
Teams usually start by looking inward at their own problem. A Context Map makes you look outward first.
Up close, you see a problem's details and miss what surrounds it. Mapping outside forces drags the bigger picture into view: the trend that will make your fix obsolete, or the partner who could help.
Each person notices different parts of the world. The front desk hears complaints, finance sees costs, leaders hear about regulations. A shared map puts all of it in one place where everyone can see it.
Some forces you can influence; others you can only prepare for. Sorting them stops a team from wasting energy fighting the weather and points it toward the levers it actually holds.
The Unknowns section gives people permission to name what worries them. It's far cheaper to plan for an uncertainty on a whiteboard than to be blindsided by it after you've committed.
Write your problem or goal in the center of a large sheet or whiteboard. Draw seven sections around it: trends, needs, technology, money, rules, other players and unknowns.
Everyone writes on sticky notes, one point per note, and places each note in the right section. Writing silently first means quieter people and every department get heard.
Walk around the map section by section. Cluster duplicates, ask questions and add what's missing. Mark anything that's a guess so you can check it later.
Each person puts dots on the three points they think will matter most. The clusters with the most dots are your key forces.
For each key force, ask: can we influence this, or can we only plan around it? Mark each one, so you know where to push and where to adapt.
For each key force, write an implication: “Because of this, we should…” Then revisit your Problem Statement. Does it still point at the right problem?
A big sheet or whiteboard with seven sections, sticky notes, dot stickers and 30–40 minutes. With AI, use the prompt below to build or check a first draft.
Subject: an independent bookstore with a small café. Goal: decide the store's focus for the next three years. Team: the owner, two staff members and a longtime customer.
Book clubs and author events are booming locally, while casual browsing is shrinking.
Parents want a safe weekend spot for kids. Remote workers want a quiet table and good coffee.
Online ordering for in-store pickup is easy to set up. The store still keeps special orders in a paper notebook.
Rent rises at renewal next year. The café earns more per square foot than the shelves do.
The city offers small grants for Main Street storefronts, and a new bike lane will remove six parking spaces.
Online giants win on price. The library runs free kids' events. A nearby school wants a partner for its reading fair.
Will the new apartment buildings nearby bring foot traffic, or just more online orders?
The dots landed on three points: local events, the rent increase and the school partnership. The store can influence two of them.
The owner stopped asking “expand or shrink?” and started asking “How might we become the neighborhood's home for book events?” First steps: move two shelves to make event space, and say yes to the school's reading fair.
A blank Context Map can feel daunting, and nobody in the room sees every force. AI can draft a first version in seconds, suggesting trends, players and risks you might not think of, and it can sort and summarize what your team adds. Treat its draft as a starting point: your team knows which forces are real, local and important.
Get a starter map to react to, so nobody faces a blank sheet.
Draft a context map for my challenge: 3-4 points each for trends, needs, tech, money, rules, players, unknowns.
Spot forces in neighboring fields that could reach you.
Which trends in other industries could reach an organization like mine within three years?
Turn each key force into an implication you can act on.
For each of my top 3 forces, finish the sentence "Because of this, we should..." three different ways.
Stress-test the map with two contrasting scenarios.
Write two short scenarios: one where my biggest unknown goes well and one where it goes badly.
Describe your challenge and where it sits, then copy the prompt into any AI assistant. In coach mode the AI walks you through the forces one at a time, asks what you see before adding suggestions, then helps you find the forces that matter and what they mean.
The “Open in” links put the prompt in the web address. If your challenge includes anything sensitive, copy and paste instead.
After the session, click one to copy it, then paste it into the same chat.